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The Ai-Native PropTech OS.
Two Growth Engines. One Platform.

Bottom-up financial model. Revenue from partner-led property activation, leads marketplace, and CRE enterprise — modeled with disciplined denominator methodology.

$11.16M
Base Case Y3 ARR
80.7%
Y1 Gross Margin
$150-$300
Partner-Led CAC
3 mo
to 1,000 Agents
20,000
Reachable Properties
12
Ai Systems

Section 1

Revenue Trajectory

Base Case (published), Conservative and Upside (reference only).

Revenue projections are modeled bottom-up from serviceable partner reach, conversion, ARPU, churn, and integration timing. The base case uses only directly countable reachable properties from current partner channels and excludes additional expansion from broader physical-security and enterprise partner ecosystems.

ScenarioY1Y2Y3Assumptions
Conservative$0.56M$2.16M$4.37M0.5%/1.25%/2.5% conv; $9,600 ARPU; 12%/10%/9% churn
Base$1.44M$5.52M$11.16M1.0%/2.5%/5.0% conv; $12,000 ARPU; 10%/8%/7% churn
Upside$2.76M$11.16M$21.15M1.5%/4.0%/7.5% conv; $15,000 ARPU; 8%/7%/6% churn

Formula

Revenue = (Partner Reach × Conversion) × ARPU × (1 − Churn) × Revenue Recognition Factor

Y1 recognition: 8/12 (4-month integration lag). Y2-Y3: 1.0. Base denominator: 20,000 reachable properties (ButterflyMX).

Section 2

8 Revenue Engines — Two Speed Lanes

Revenue from day one via the Fast Lane (nationwide, no geo dependency) plus high-moat Build Lane revenue (per-market, partner-led).

PLG Funnel: Pay-Per-Listing at $19/30 Days

Zillow charges ~$10/DAY ($300/mo). RA charges $19 FLAT for 30 days. An agent paying $19 × 5 listings = $95/mo → Pro at $89 = obvious upgrade. Owner starts free → adds Voice ($49) + Alexa ($29) + Access ($19) = $97/mo recurring.

Fast Lane — Nationwide Tomorrow

Engine 1

Agent SaaS

$89-$1,299/mo — any agent, any state. Voice Ai, Nelo Ai Copilot, Ai flyers/video, scheduling, CRM, lead scoring, DAV verification, FairScreen.

Engine 2

Pay-Per-Listing

$19/listing/30 days — non-subscribers. PLG funnel: 5 listings at $19 = $95/mo → $89 Pro subscription is obvious upgrade.

Engine 3

Owner Self-Serve

$29-$174/mo à la carte stack. Free vault → $29 Pro → Voice Ai $49 → Alexa $29 → Smart Access $19. Total with all: $127/mo.

Build Lane — Per-Market, High Moat

Engine 4

Property Management

$3-$10/unit/mo — FairScreen screening, Stripe billing, Esusu credit, ChargePoint EV, HAL access, Voice Ai, 3DGS tours.

Engine 5

Vertical Enterprise

HOA $1.25/unit • Campus $100K-$500K ACV • Senior $35-$175/unit • CRE $199/seat

Engine 6

Marketplace

Leads $25-$1,500 per lead • 12-20% platform take • Application fees $50 • DAV-verified, Gemini-enriched.

Engine 7

Partner Rev-Share

Insurance 15-25% commission (Lemonade, Rhino, Sure, TheGuarantors) • Deposit alternatives • Esusu credit reporting • ChargePoint EV billing.

Engine 8

Energy & ESG

20% of utility savings via virtual power plant • Demand response • Time-of-use arbitrage • LL97 carbon compliance • ChargePoint EV revenue.

Lead Marketplace Tiers

TierPricePositioning
Bronze$25-$100Basic verified leads
Silver$75-$250Enriched leads with intent signals
Gold$200-$500Researched leads with financial qualification
Platinum$500-$1,500Full intelligence package with agent-ready briefings

Section 3

Margin Expansion Bridge — Modeled, Not Proven

Gross margin expansion is modeled primarily from declining inference cost intensity driven by semantic caching, prompt compression, smart routing, and selective migration of repetitive internal tasks toward lower-cost model lanes.

80.7%
Y1 Gross Margin (COGS 19.3%)
92.5%
Y5 Gross Margin (COGS 7.5%)
11.8 pts
COGS Improvement
~61%
COGS Ratio Reduction vs Y1
TokeniMax/Nelo

Inference Cost Drivers

Semantic caching, prompt compression, smart model routing, and premium escalation only when justified — driving inference cost down systematically over time.

Section 4

Capital Efficiency

Partner-led distribution drives CAC far below organic channels.

$150-$300
Partner-Led CAC
~$800
Organic CAC
3 mo
to 1,000 Agents ($150 CAC)
10-13 mo
Faster Than Organic

At $50K/month Acquisition Budget

CACAgents/MonthTime to 1,000 Agents
$150333~3 months
$300167~6 months
$80062.5~16 months

Partner-led reaches 1,000 agents 10-13 months faster than organic.

Section 5

NOI Sensitivity — Illustrative

Illustrative sensitivity analysis by portfolio size. These figures are modeled estimates, not proven outcomes.

Portfolio SizeFraud Bad Debt/Unit200-Unit Exposure
2,000 units$514.50$102,900
5,000 units$205.80$41,160
10,000 units$102.90$20,580

FairScreen Fraud Reduction Impact

Reduction LevelSavings Range
25% fraud reduction$5.1K-$25.7K
50% fraud reduction$10.3K-$51.5K

Voice AiLabor Savings

FTE EquivalentAnnual Savings
0.5 FTE at $60K$15K
1.0 FTE at $60K$30K

Combined NOI Uplift (Illustrative)

Using 5,000-unit equivalent + 50% fraud reduction: combined NOI uplift ~$35.6K-$50.6K.

Section 6

Market Benchmarks

Key reference points from partner and competitor ecosystems.

CompanyMetricSource
ButterflyMXButterflyMX20,000+ properties, 1.5M+ units2025 Year in Review
BrivoBrivo1B+ sqft, 80 countriesPost-Eagle Eye merger
AllegionAllegion$4.067B FY2025 revenueFY2025 10-K
Zillow~$2.6B FY2025 revenueFY2025 10-K
AppFolio~$951M revenue, 9.4M unitsFY2025 results
EliseAI70% faster approval-to-leasePublic ROI materials
NMHC$4.2M avg bad debt, 24.5% fraud-linked2024 Pulse Survey

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Contact Founder: nelson@getra.ai